Posted on November 2, 2008 by Aaron
A new national poll is going beyond saying Obama is ahead: It’s predicting that Obama will win by six points.
The final Pew poll predicts that the outcome will be Obama 52%, McCain 46%, with the remainder split among third-party candidates. The top-line result among likely voters right now is Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a [...]
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Posted on November 2, 2008 by Aaron
The final USA Today/Gallup 2008 pre-election poll predicts Barack Obama will be elected the 44th president of the United States, as he holds a 55% to 44% advantage over John McCain in the allocated estimate of the 2008 presidential vote.
More…
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Posted on October 28, 2008 by Aaron
Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back [...]
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Posted on October 28, 2008 by Aaron
From Election Projection
Barack Obama will win this election in a landslide. He will capture at least 350 electoral votes and win the popular vote by 7% or more. McCain may benefit from some measure of the Bradley Effect, but that advantage will be overwhelmed by African-American turnout, Palin-induced defections by moderates, and under-funded, unenthusiastic GOP [...]
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Posted on October 26, 2008 by Aaron
Two years ago, a list of the nation’s brainiest cities was put together from Census Bureau reports — that is, cities with the highest percentage of college graduates, which is not the same as smart, of course.
These are vibrant, prosperous places where a knowledge economy and cool things to do after hours attract people from [...]
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Posted on October 25, 2008 by Aaron
By every metric, the Democrat’s presidential campaign looks as if it is headed for the upper deck.
For a political analyst, the normal posture this time of year is much like a baseball umpire’s: hunched over, peering carefully as the ball approaches the plate, watching for whether it breaks left or right, whether it’s coming in [...]
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Posted on October 25, 2008 by Aaron
The global financial meltdown has caused a dramatic shift in the 2008 presidential race, according to the latest NEWSWEEK poll. With four weeks left in the presidential campaign, Barack Obama now leads John McCain by double digits, 52 percent to 41 percent among registered voters—a marked shift from the last NEWSWEEK poll, conducted one month [...]
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Posted on October 21, 2008 by Aaron
Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama holds strong leads over his Republican adversary John McCain in two national polls released Tuesday.
A New York Times/CBS News poll had Obama ahead of McCain by 14 points–53 to 39 percent–while a Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll shows Obama ahead by nine points, 50 to 41 percent.
The NYT/CBS poll also shows [...]
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Posted on October 21, 2008 by Aaron
As voters have gotten to know Senator Barack Obama, they have warmed up to him, with more than half, 53 percent, now saying they have a favorable impression of him and 33 percent saying they have an unfavorable view. But as voters have gotten to know Senator John McCain, they have not warmed, with only [...]
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Posted on October 20, 2008 by Aaron
Gallup Poll Daily tracking now gives Barack Obama an 11 percentage point lead over John McCain in the presidential vote preferences of all registered voters, 52% to 41%.
The rest of the story
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