New Pew Poll Predicts Obama Will Win 52%-46%

A new national poll is going beyond saying Obama is ahead: It’s predicting that Obama will win by six points.
The final Pew poll predicts that the outcome will be Obama 52%, McCain 46%, with the remainder split among third-party candidates. The top-line result among likely voters right now is Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a [...]

Obama Leads by 19 Among Those Who Have Already Voted

Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back [...]

Barack Obama will win this election in a landslide

From Election Projection
Barack Obama will win this election in a landslide.  He will capture at least 350 electoral votes and win the popular vote by 7% or more.  McCain may benefit from some measure of the Bradley Effect, but that advantage will be overwhelmed by African-American turnout, Palin-induced defections by moderates, and under-funded, unenthusiastic GOP [...]

Obama Swinging For The Fences

By every metric, the Democrat’s presidential campaign looks as if it is headed for the upper deck.
For a political analyst, the normal posture this time of year is much like a baseball umpire’s: hunched over, peering carefully as the ball approaches the plate, watching for whether it breaks left or right, whether it’s coming in [...]

Pulling Away: Obama opens a double-digit lead in new NEWSWEEK poll

The global financial meltdown has caused a dramatic shift in the 2008 presidential race, according to the latest NEWSWEEK poll. With four weeks left in the presidential campaign, Barack Obama now leads John McCain by double digits, 52 percent to 41 percent among registered voters—a marked shift from the last NEWSWEEK poll, conducted one month [...]

NYT/CBS Poll: Obama Leading by 14%

Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama holds strong leads over his Republican adversary John McCain in two national polls released Tuesday.
A New York Times/CBS News poll had Obama ahead of McCain by 14 points–53 to 39 percent–while a Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll shows Obama ahead by nine points, 50 to 41 percent.
The NYT/CBS poll also shows [...]

Obama Appeal Rises in Poll; No Gains for McCain Ticket

 As voters have gotten to know Senator Barack Obama, they have warmed up to him, with more than half, 53 percent, now saying they have a favorable impression of him and 33 percent saying they have an unfavorable view. But as voters have gotten to know Senator John McCain, they have not warmed, with only [...]

Gallup Daily: Obama Retains 10% Lead October 19, 2008

Barack Obama again leads John McCain nationally by 10 percentage points among all registered voters, 52% to 42%. His advantage narrows to either 7 or 3 points among likely voters, depending on how that group is defined.
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Today’s Tally of Polls

TALLY From ElectionProjection.com

October 17, 2008
McCain
Obama
Margin

Projected
Electoral Votes
169
369
Obama +200

Projected
Popular Vote
45.2%
52.8%
Obama +7.6%

Gallup Daily: Obama Ahead, 51% to 41%

Voter preferences in the presidential race continue to be generally auspicious for Barack Obama’s election prospects only three weeks ahead of the eve of Election Day. Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points, 51% to 41%, among all registered voters, according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 10-12.